Joaquin

The best model seems to the "EURO" aka ECMWF model

It called it on Sandy, and I'm going with it for this storm.

Model pushes the storm out to sea, and even the NHC is "averaging"
and showing the storm hugging but staying off the coast.

What that means is that we will be in the wet, but relatively
weaker NW quadrants throughout the weekend.

A fairly big "Noreaster" type of event for the 1st half, with a weakening
but strong rain event for the 2nd half of the forecast cycle out 5 days.

Good location for Euro track:

http://www.ecmwf.int/en/forecasts/charts/medium/ensemble-mean-and-spread-four-standard-parameters?area=North%20America&step=96&relative_archive_date=2015100100&parameter=MSLP

and where the storm should be Sunday:

The GFS is shifting further East, and an interactive loop can be found here;

http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSPRS_0z/ensloopnew.html